अफगानिस्तान: भारत के विकल्प

अफगानिस्तान के राष्ट्रपति अशरफ गनी का भारत दौरा महत्वपूर्ण समय में हुआ और यह दौरा निकट भविष्य में भारत-अफगानिस्तान के रिश्तों की दशा और दिशा तय कर सकता है। भारत-अफगानिस्तान के रिश्तों को नई अहमियत कुछ हद तक विशेष क्षेत्रीय तथा अंतरराष्ट्रीय घटनाक्रम के कारण मिली है, कुछ हद तक इसलिए है क्योंकि अफगान सरकार को महसूस हो चुका है कि अपने अप्रिय पड़ोसी पाकिस्ताना से कुछ भी सकारात्मक मिलने की उम्मीद करना बेमानी है और कुछ हद तक इसलिए भी है कि भारत सरकार को लग रहा है कि पाकिस्तान की संवेदनाओं की फिक्र करने (जो मनमोहन सिंह के समय की खासियत थी) के बजाय भारत को अफगानिस्तान की सुरक्षा का ज्यादा खयाल करना चाह

Afghanistan: India’s Options

Afghan President Ashraf Ghani’s visit to New Delhi came at a crucial time and could well have set in motion the trajectory of how Indo-Afghan relations will pan out in the foreseeable future.

काबुल तो पाकिस्तान से दूर जाएगा ही

अफगानिस्तान के राष्ट्रपति अशरफ गनी ने पाकिस्तान को आतंकियों का पनाहगार देश बताते हुए कहा है कि उसके साथ रिश्ते बनाए रखना अफगान हुकूमत के लिए बड़ी चुनौती बन गया है। गनी का यह बयान हकीकत पर आधारित है। हालांकि जब वह सत्ता में आए थे, तब पाकिस्तान का लेकर उनकी राय कुछ अलग थी। उस समय वह पाकिस्तान के साथ दोस्ती के पक्षधर थे। इसकी वजह भी थी।

अफगानिस्तान: विध्वंस की राह पर ?

चतुर्भुज समन्वय दल (Quadrilateral Coordination Group (QCG)) के नए शांति प्रयासों में जुटे शैतानी सरगना पकिस्तान, पीड़ित पक्ष अफ़गानिस्तान, आर्थिक प्रबंधक अमेरिका और मूक दृष्टा चीन के संयुक्त प्रयासों के वाबजूद अफगानिस्तान की हालत कोई बहुत अच्छी नहीं लगती। कल तक जो सिर्फ एक डर था, या कहिये कि दुःस्वप्न था, वो आज सच होता नजर आता है। ख़ास तौर से सुरक्षा के क्षेत्र में ये डर हकीकत बनता दिखता है।

Afghanistan: Heading for A Meltdown?

Notwithstanding the charade of a new peace/reconciliation move by the Quadrilateral Coordination Group (QCG) comprising the villain-in-chief Pakistan, victim-in-chief Afghanistan, financier-in-chief USA and bystander-cum-freeloader-in-chief China, the situation in Afghanistan is looking bleak. Many of the worst fears, even nightmares, about the negative trajectory of the state of affairs, particularly in the critical domain of security, appear to be coming true.

India’s Afghan Policy: Not Rebuff, But A Refrain from Reflexive Response

In recent weeks, there has been some puzzlement over India’s somewhat less than enthusiastic response to Afghan overtures for re-engaging and revitalizing the Strategic Partnership Agreement signed between the two countries in 2011. At a time when Afghan President Ashraf Ghani’s misplaced faith, or if you will Great Gamble, on Pakistan’s bonafides has started to unravel, many analysts imagined that India would be more than willing to step into the breach.

Ghani's Gambit is Failing, Afghanistan is Unravelling

The spring of 2015 was always going to be ‘hot’ in Afghanistan. The Taliban had already made clear their intention to bring the Ashraf Ghani government to its knees. It was also going to test the mettle of the Afghan National Army (ANA) which for the first time was going to face the Taliban without the support of the US-led ISAF. And if truth be told, things haven’t quite gone the way of the Afghan state.

Walking Away or Ignoring Afghanistan is not an Option for India

The policy shift being attempted by Afghanistan President Ashraf Ghani in which he sought to relegate India to the fourth circle of priority and appease Pakistan has had mixed reception in the Indian strategic community. It ranges from disappointment over side-lining of India to a resigned acceptance of an emerging situation in which India's space may get constricted. The result is both a sort of detachment over what happens in Afghanistan and hope of seeing China and Pakistan getting steadily bogged down in the Afghan quagmire.

India and the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation: An Analysis

At the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation’s (SCO) forthcoming annual summit meeting in Bashkortostan in Russia in July 2015 , it is expected that India’s status would be elevated from an Observer to a full member. If reports are true, it would indeed be a positive development for India. A regional Grouping, the SCO, comprises of countries some of whom are part of its extended / strategic neighbourhood. Today India’s neighbourhood is in a state of flux, the shape of future scenario in Afghanistan is uncertain.The process of withdrawal of Western coalition forces from Afghanistan has begun.

Afghanistan: Can it be A Template for India, China Cooperation?

One of the most troubling, but also fundamental, questions confronting India is while New Delhi is keen on cultivating with China a mutually beneficial and cooperative relationship that, despite an element of competition, is not only conflict-free but also cordial, does China want a similar relationship with India? Despite trade between the two Asian giants booming, and a fair degree of convergence in interests in global forums, there are outstanding issues – among others, the boundary question – between them that cause strains in the bilateral relationship.