Transformation of the international order has wide-ranging impact. This is because the change in international order involves fundamental changes in the balance of power, institutions, norms, and behavior.
The current international order is in transition. We are moving towards a new international order, but the contours of the new order are not clear. Power is getting increasingly diffused. Rising powers are challenging the dominance of existing powers. The period of transition is full of uncertainties and apprehensions.This period of uncertainties may continue for several decades. The capability of the old institutions to deal with new problems would be limited.
The characteristic of the existing order can be summarized as follows:-
The question is whether the transformation of the new international order will have an impact on regional conflicts, and if so, how?
We may note the following tendencies:-
In order to cut the US’ involvement in the expensive Afghanistan war, the US has begun a direct talk with the Taliban to the dismay of the Afghan government, which the US has supported all along. Russia and China are also supporting the Taliban. This will pave the way for the return of the Taliban who continue to with their attacks.
The above examples bring out the following:-
Regional conflicts are deeply influenced by the changing international order. Big powers often flout international norms. The multilateral system is becoming dysfunctional. The international law is found to be inadequate to deal with emerging challenges. Rivalries amongst regional powers as well as big powers aggravates the conflicts. Non-state actors who are beyond any law are deeply involved in such conflicts. Some regional conflicts also impact the freedom of navigation through the seas which in turn influence global commerce and commodity prices. Climate change and other non-traditional security issues have a deep impact on the trajectory and regional conflicts.
Links:
[1] https://www.vifindia.org/directorremarks/2019/july/15/the-8th-world-peace-forum-stabilizing-the-world-order-beijing
[2] http://www.facebook.com/sharer.php?title=The 8th World Peace Forum: Stabilizing the World Order, Beijing, 09 Jul 2019 &desc=&images=&u=https://www.vifindia.org/directorremarks/2019/july/15/the-8th-world-peace-forum-stabilizing-the-world-order-beijing
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